Young progressive candidates face mixed success

Jul. 18, 2025, 8:21 am ET

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  • Deja Foxx’s Arizona primary loss highlights challenges for young progressive candidates
  • Mixed results emerge as Gen Z candidates test new political strategies
  • Establishment vs. grassroots tensions define Democratic Party’s generational divide

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Quick Brief

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Essential Context

A new generation of candidates is testing strategies that emphasize urgency and grassroots energy, but recent elections show uneven success. Deja Foxx’s 21.1% finish in Arizona’s special election contrasts with Zohran Mamdani’s 2022 New York State Assembly victory, revealing both opportunities and obstacles for young progressives.

Core Players

  • Deja Foxx – 25-year-old progressive organizer (Arizona 7th District candidate)
  • Adelita Grijalva – 54-year-old President Trump County Supervisor (Arizona primary winner)
  • Zohran Mamdani – 34-year-old NY State Assembly member (successful young progressive)
  • LPAC – LGBTQ+ advocacy group backing Foxx
  • Leaders We Deserve PAC – Progressive youth organization

Key Numbers

  • $600,000 – Foxx’s total fundraising (mostly small donors)
  • 21.1% – Foxx’s primary vote share
  • 42-point margin – Grijalva’s victory over Foxx
  • 2022 – Year Mamdani won NY Assembly seat
  • 35% – Foxx’s late June polling support

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The Catalyst

Foxx’s “crashout or Congress” campaign framed the Arizona race as a referendum on generational change. Her digital-first strategy and small-donor focus mirrored successful progressive campaigns, but ultimately fell short against Grijalva’s establishment support.

Inside Forces

The Democratic Party faces internal tension between:

  • **Grassroots energy**: Young candidates leveraging social media and small donors
  • **Establishment power**: Endorsements from AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Emily’s List

Power Dynamics

Grijalva’s victory demonstrated:

  • **Experience advantage**: 20+ years in local government
  • **Symbolic weight**: Potential first Latina Congresswoman from Arizona
  • **Resource access**: Stronger ground game and institutional support

Outside Impact

Foxx’s loss raises questions about:

  • **Digital vs. ground campaigns**: Foxx’s online presence didn’t translate to votes
  • **Generational messaging**: When does “young” become a liability vs. asset?
  • **Progressive coalition strength**: Split between establishment and insurgent wings

Future Forces

Key upcoming tests for young candidates include:

  • **2026 midterms**: Potential rematch opportunities
  • **State legislative races**: Lower barriers to entry for new candidates
  • **Coalition building**: Bridging gaps between digital activists and traditional voters

Data Points

  • April 2, 2025 – Foxx announces candidacy
  • June 10, 2025 – Primary debate participation
  • July 15, 2025 – Primary election results
  • 2022 – Mamdani’s NY Assembly victory
  • $29 – Average Foxx donor contribution

The emerging playbook for young candidates shows promise but requires refinement. While digital organizing and small-donor networks create opportunities, they must be paired with strong local infrastructure and coalition-building to overcome establishment advantages. The Arizona race serves as both a cautionary tale and a roadmap for future campaigns.

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